Eta Visor / Strategic Review
01 Opening view
Confidential working view Platform-input asset Pre-seed stage

Eta Visor merits platform valuation,
not single-product treatment.

This memorandum frames Eta Visor as a core human-machine interface asset with embedded rights to expand into drone command, industrial robotics, and hybrid BCI workflows. Technical diligence anchors are drawn from the repo; commercial overlays remain explicitly illustrative.

Core asset Gaze + motion input layer for command, intent, and spatial context.
Diligence signal Protocol outputs and simulation evidence already support multi-vertical credibility.
Strategic relevance Most likely buyer value comes from accelerated roadmap compression and interface defensibility.

This is a scenario-weighted expected value across all exercised options and milestones — not a current valuation ask. The pre-seed raise is priced separately from this model.

Pre-seed · Eta XR bob@eta-xr.com vg@eta-xr.com
02 Investment thesis
Investment thesis

A narrow hardware surface with unusually broad option value.

Eta Visor pairs onboard edge compute, an IMU, and an NIR eye tracker to infer pose, intent, and commands without depending on GPS or scene cameras. That same core stack already maps into MAVLink, ROS2, and BCI-style outputs, supporting a platform interpretation rather than a single-use device story.

NIR Eye Tracker
6-DoF IMU
Gaze-VIO + Intent Layer
MAVLink
ROS2
BCI
Technical diligence

Technical evidence already substantiates the platform claim.

These diligence points come directly from FIRMWARE, SIM, ALGORITHM, and the project README. They should be read as technical anchors rather than commercial promises.

03 Valuation case
Valuation logic

Core asset value, option value, then strategic premium

Indicative memo framing
Core asset EV $0M
Platform option EV $0M
Strategic premium EV $0M
Total expected EV $0M
Revenue timeline

Illustrative revenue ramp

Illustrative · not a forecast
Value build

Contribution waterfall

Scenario comparison

Conservative vs. base vs. aggressive

Development path

Value expands as execution risk is retired in sequence.

Each stage removes a specific layer of technical or commercial uncertainty, increasing confidence in both the core asset and the right to pursue adjacent-market branches.

Capital requirements

What funding unlocks at each stage

Illustrative · amounts subject to raise terms
04 Option branches
Option branches

Three adjacency rights are already implied by the current codebase.

Each branch ties a downstream market claim to concrete repo evidence, remaining diligence requirements, and an expected-value contribution under the current scenario posture.

05 Market sizing
Market opportunity

TAM/SAM/SOM analysis across three verticals.

Market sizing anchors the commercial model in external research and defines the realistic addressable opportunity for each protocol branch.

06 Competitive landscape
Competitive positioning

No direct competitor offers gaze-VIO fusion with multi-protocol output.

Eta Visor occupies a unique position between research-grade eye trackers, consumer AR headsets, and traditional control interfaces.

07 Risk register
Risk analysis

Identified risks with active mitigation strategies.

Each risk is quantified by probability, impact, and timing, with explicit mitigation plans and residual risk assessment.

08 Acquirer fit
Strategic acquirer fit

Different buyers pay for different forms of roadmap compression.

Evidence boundary

What is evidenced, what is modeled, and what gets added later.

Repo-backed facts

Modeled for the memo

Reserved for market evidence

09 Appendix
Valuation appendix

Decision-tree valuation for a strategic review context.

The model treats Eta Visor as a staged platform asset: value begins in the core device, then compounds through milestone completion, adjacency exercise rights, and buyer-specific strategic willingness to pay.

Framing rationale

Why not Black-Scholes or a plain DCF?

Black-Scholes assumes a liquid market, continuous volatility, and a tradable underlying asset. Eta Visor is a venture-stage operating asset. The more useful framing is a staged decision tree: technical proof unlocks commercial proof, which then creates the right (but not the obligation) to expand into adjacent control markets.

A plain DCF would imply a single forecast path. This site instead values branching outcomes: one core platform and multiple contingent expansion rights with different timing, confidence, and strategic fit.

Appendix scope

What this appendix makes explicit

The formulas below are intentionally kept aligned with the browser-side calculator. Inputs shown as repo-derived are evidence anchors; inputs shown as illustrative are placeholders intended to be replaced or calibrated with future market and transaction evidence.

Formula appendix

Explicit valuation mechanics

Driver definitions

What the major inputs mean

Worked example

Scenario roll-up into total expected EV

Assumptions framework

What is fact, what is placeholder, what gets added later